Black Jelly Beans
Loading Images
Approach:  One to one
ACCESS
Level: Year 8
Focus: Understanding randomness and probability  
Resources:
2 graphs
143kb
Questions/instructions:  

Matt likes black jelly beans the best. But he thinks that there are always fewer black ones than the other colours. He wants to write to the makers asking them to put more black ones in. Matt’s teacher told him he should have some data or information to support what he is saying.

 
 
% responses
2009 ('05)
y4
y8
1. What do you think Matt should do to get some data or information to go with his letter?    
Data on frequency of jelly beans in packets:  
use several packets of jelly beans to tally/graph proportion of black ones 35 (35)
use single packet of jelly beans to tally/graph proportion of black ones 24 (31)
Data on proportion of people who particularly like black jelly beans:  
presented good ideas for a survey 13 (10)
mentioned issue without elaboration 11 (10)
Show student graph 1.  
bjb01    
This graph shows the jelly beans in one packet.  
2. Do you think that this would be enough information to convince the makers that there should be more black jelly beans in each packet?  
  tickno 48 (54)
  yes 48 (39)
3. Why do you think that?    
Support for “yes”: black lowest on graph 36 (32)
Support for “no”: only one fewer black than red or pink 10 (9)
should sample more than one packet to judge proportion of black 27 (34)
graph does not give information about people’s preference for different colours 7 (10)
Show student graph 2.  
bjb02     
This graph shows the jelly beans in ten packets.  
4. Do you think that Matt should write to the jelly bean makers? tickno
71 (68)
  yes 24 (23)
5. Why do you say that?    
Support for “no”: black is not lowest on graph 61 (59)
Support for “yes”: black is not high/highest on graph 7 (4)
lots of people have black as their favourite 2 (2)

Total score:
6–7
  15 (10)
4–5
28 (34)
2–3
37 (43)
0–1
20 (13)
Subgroup Analysis [Click on charts to enlarge] :
Year 8


Commentary:
This task involved interpreting data, taking into account randomness and probability. Performance was not strong, with 57% scoring fewer than half marks. Pasifika students scored markedly lower than Pakeha and Mäori students.