Sampling
procedures
In 1995, 2871 children from 256 schools were in the
final samples to participate in national monitoring. About half
were in year 4, the other half in year 8. At each level, 120 schools
were selected randomly from national lists of state, integrated
and private schools teaching at that level, with their probability
of selection proportional to the number of students enrolled in
the level. The process used ensured that each region was fairly
represented. Schools with fewer than four students enrolled were
excluded, as were special schools and Kura Kaupapa schools
(by mutual agreement, the latter will be included from 1999 onwards).
Late
in April 1995, the Ministry of Education provided computer
files containing a lists of eligible schools with year 4 and
year 8 students, organised by region and district, including
year 4 and year 8 roll numbers drawn from school statistical
returns based on enrolments at 1 March 1995.
From these
lists, we randomly selected 120 schools with year 4 students
and 120 schools with year 8 students. Schools with four students
in year 4 or 8 had about a one percent chance of being selected,
while some of the largest intermediate (year 7 and 8) schools
had a more than 90 percent chance of inclusion. In the two cases
where the same school was chosen at both year 4 and year 8 level,
a replacement year 4 school of similar size was chosen from the
same region and district, type and size of school.
Pairing
small schools
At the year 8 level, five of the 120 chosen schools had less than
12 year 8 students. For each of these schools, we identifed the
nearest small school which met our criteria to be paired with the
first school. Wherever possible, schools with 8 to 11 students
were paired with schools with 4 to 7 students, and vice versa.
However, the travelling distances between the schools were also
taken into account. Similar pairing procedures were followed at
the year 4 level, creating 11 pairs of schools. Intriguingly, one
of these pairs was on Great Barrier Island. Contacting schools
During the first week of May, we attempted to telephone the principals
or acting principals of all schools in the year 8 sample. We made
contact with all schools during that period, where necessary leaving
messages for the principal to return our call on the Project's
0800 number. Discussions with the last few principals were not
completed until the first day or two of term 2.
In our
telephone calls with the principals, we briefly explained the
purpose of national monitoring, the safeguards for schools and
students, and the practical demands participation would make
on schools and students. We informed the principals about the
materials which would be arriving in the school (a copy of a
15 minute NEMP videotape plus copies for all staff and trustees
of the NEMP brochure and detailed booklet for sample schools).
We asked the principals to consult with their staff and Board
of Trustees and confirm their participation by the end of June.
A similar
procedure was followed in early June with the principals of the
schools selected in the year 4 sample, and they were asked to
respond to the invitation by the middle of July.
Response
from schools
Of the 256 schools invited to participate, 254 agreed. Both schools
which declined were in the year 8 sample. One of these declined
because of major disruptions over the previous 18 months for its
year 8 students
an argument which seemed well founded. The other declined because
the principal wanted to make a political protest about the implications
of proposed changes in staffing allocations for his school and
the lack of response from the Ministry to his protests. Each of
these two schools was replaced in the sample: one by the nearest
school of similar type and size, the other by a randomly chosen
alternative school from the same district (there was no other school
of the same type in that district).
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Sampling
of students
With their confirmation of participation, each school sent a
list of the names of all year 4 or year 8 students on their roll.
Using computer generated random numbers, we randomly selected
the required number of students (12, or 4 plus 8 in a pair of
small schools), at the same time clustering them into random
groups of four students. The schools were then sent a list of
their selected students and invited to inform us if special care
would be needed in assessing any of those children (e.g. children
with disabilities or limited skills in English).
At the
year 8 level, we received about 90 comments from schools about
particular students. In about 45 cases, we randomly selected
replacement students because the children initially selected
had left the school between the time the roll was provided and
the start of the assessment programme in the school, or were
expected to be away throughout the assessment week. The remaining
45 comments concerned children with special needs. Each such
child was discussed with the school and a decision agreed. Six
students were replaced because they were very recent immigrants
(within six months) who had extremely limited English language
skills. One student was replaced because of severe physical health
problems, and eight students were replaced because they had disabilities
of such seriousness that it was agreed that the students would
be placed at emotional risk if they participated. Participation
was agreed upon for the remaining 30 students, but a special
note was prepared to give additional guidance to the teachers
who would assess them.
In the
corresponding operation at year 4 level, we received about 125
comments from schools about particular students. In part, the
larger number arose because there was a longer time gap between
our receipt of the class rolls and the assessment weeks. This
meant that about 75 children originally selected needed to be
replaced because they had left the school. Eleven students were
mentioned because of their ESOL status, and two because they
were participants in total immersion Mäori language programmes.
Of these, four very recent immigrants were replaced and assessment
in Mäori was arranged for the two immersion students. Two
students were replaced because they had been reclassified as
year 3. Other special needs were mentioned for 26 children, and
7 of these children were replaced (3 because of very severe physical
disabilities, and 4 because of concerns about their ability to
cope with the assessment situation). Special notes for the assessing
teachers were made about 28 children retained in the sample.
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Communication
with parents Following these discussions with
the school, Project staff prepared letters to all of the
parents, including a copy of the NEMP brochure, and asked
the schools to address the letters and mail them. Parents
were told they could obtain further information from Project
staff (using an 0800 number) or their school principal, and
advised that they have the right to ask that their child
be excluded from the assessment.
Our 0800
number was monitored in evenings, as well as during the day,
for two weeks following each mailing of letters to parents.
At the
year 8 level, we received about 18 phone calls and one e-mail
message, including several from students wanting more information
about what would be involved. The main issues raised by parents
were our reasons for selection of their child, a wish for fuller
details or reiteration of what would be involved, concern that
limited skills would place their child at risk, or reluctance
of the child to take part. Four children were replaced as a result
of these contacts, one at parents' request (a child with special
needs who had previously been discussed by school and Project
staff), and three where the parents were happy for their child
to participate but the child was not (one because friends had
not been selected, the other two
from high SES schools because they were concerned about
performing badly or falling behind in their regular schoolwork).
At the
year 4 level we received about 12 phone calls from parents. Some
wanted details confirmed or explained (notably about reasons
for selection). Five children were withdrawn at parents' request:
one because the child was not allowed to watch video material,
one because the parent did not want the child videotaped, two
because of concern about added stress on children who were already
under stress at school, and one for unspecified reasons).
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Practical
arrangements with schools On the basis of preferences
expressed by the schools, we then allocated each school to
one of the five assessment weeks available and gave them
contact information for the two teachers who would come to
the school for a week to conduct the assessments. We also
provided information about the assessment schedule and the
space and furniture requirements, offering to pay for hire
of a nearby facility if the school was too crowded to accommodate
the assessment programme.
Results
of the sampling process As a result of the considerable
care taken, and the attractiveness of the assessment arrangements
to schools and children, the attrition from the initial sample
was very low. Less than one percent of selected schools did
not participate, and less than two percent of the originally
sampled children had to be replaced for reasons other than
their transfer to another school. The sample can be regarded
as very representative of the population from which it was
chosen (all children in New Zealand schools at the two class
levels except the one to two percent in special schools,
Kura Kaupapa schools, or schools with less than four year
4 or year 8 children). Of course, not all the children in
the sample were actually able to be assessed. Some were absent
from school for some or all of their assessment sessions,
and a small percentage of performances were lost because
of malfunctions in the video recording process. For many
tasks, over 95 percent of the sample were assessed. No task
had less than 90 percent of the sample assessed. Given the
complexity of the Project, this was a very acceptable success
rate.
Composition
of the sample
Because of the sampling approach used, regions were fairly represented
in the sample, in approximate proportion to the number of school
children in the regions.
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