Sampling
procedures
In 1997, 2872 children from 255 schools were in the
final samples to participate in national monitoring. About half
were in year 4, the other half in year 8. At each level, 120 schools
were selected randomly from national lists of state, integrated
and private schools teaching at that level, with their probability
of selection proportional to the number of students enrolled in
the level. The process used ensured that each region was fairly
represented. Schools with fewer than four students enrolled at
the given level were excluded, as were special schools and Kura
Kaupapa schools (by mutual agreement, the latter will be included
from 1999 onwards). Early
in May 1997, the Ministry of Education provided computer files
containing lists of eligible schools with year 4 and year 8
students, organised by region and district, including year
4 and year 8 roll numbers drawn from school statistical returns
based on enrolments at 1 March 1997. From these
lists, we randomly selected 120 schools with year 4 students
and 120 schools with year 8 students. Schools with four students
in year 4 or 8 had about a one percent chance of being selected,
while some of the largest intermediate (year 7 and 8) schools
had a more than 90 percent chance of inclusion. In the five cases
where the same school was chosen at both year 4 and year 8 level,
a replacement year 4 school of similar size was chosen from the
same region and district, type and size of school.
Pairing
small schools
At the year 8 level, 4 of the 120 chosen schools had less than
12 year 8 students. For each of these schools, we identified the
nearest small school which met our criteria to be paired with the
first school. Wherever possible, schools with 8 to 11 students
were paired with schools with 4 to 7 students, and vice versa.
However, the travelling distances between the schools were also
taken into account. Similar pairing procedures were followed at
the year 4 level, creating 11 pairs of schools at this level.
Contacting
schools
During the second and third weeks of May, we attempted to telephone
the principals or acting principals of all schools in the year
8 sample. We made contact with all schools during that period,
where necessary leaving messages for the principal to return our
call on the Project's 0800 number. In our
telephone calls with the principals, we briefly explained the
purpose of national monitoring, the safeguards for schools and
students, and the practical demands participation would make
on schools and students. We informed the principals about the
materials which would be arriving in the school (a copy of a
15 minute NEMP videotape plus copies for all staff and trustees
of the NEMP brochure and detailed booklet for sample schools).
We asked the principals to consult with their staff and Board
of Trustees and confirm their participation by the end of June. A similar
procedure was followed in June with the principals of the schools
selected in the year 4 sample, and they were asked to respond
to the invitation by the end of July.
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Response
from schools
Of the 255 schools invited to participate, 254 agreed. The one
school which declined participation was a small Christian school.
It was replaced in the sample by the next larger school in the
same district.
Sampling
of students
With their confirmation of participation, each school sent a list
of the names of all year 4 or year 8 students on their roll. Using
computer generated random numbers, we randomly selected the required
number of students (12, or 4 plus 8 in a pair of small schools),
at the same time clustering them into random groups of four students.
The schools were then sent a list of their selected students and
invited to inform us if special care would be needed in assessing
any of those children (e.g. children with disabilities or limited
skills in English). At the
year 8 level, we received about 52 comments from schools about
particular students. In 23 cases, we randomly selected replacement
students because the children initially selected had left the
school between the time the roll was provided and the start of
the assessment programme in the school, or were expected to be
away throughout the assessment week. The remaining 29 comments
concerned children with special needs. Each such child was discussed
with the school and a decision agreed. Three students were replaced
because they were very recent immigrants who had extremely limited
English language skills. Five students were replaced because
they had disabilities of such seriousness that it was agreed
that the students would be placed at emotional risk if they participated.
Participation was agreed upon for the remaining 21 students,
but a special note was prepared to give additional guidance to
the teachers who would assess them. In the
corresponding operation at year 4 level, we received 158 comments
from schools about particular students. In part, the larger number
arose because there was a longer time gap between our receipt
of the class rolls and the assessment weeks. This meant that
72 children originally selected needed to be replaced because
they had left the school. Eight students were mentioned because
of their ESOL status. Of these, one very recent immigrant was
replaced. Five students were mentioned because they were participants
in total immersion Mäori language programmes. Assessment
in Mäori was arranged for the three immersion students at
one school, and two immersion students were replaced. One student
was replaced because she had been reclassified as year 3. Other
special needs were mentioned for 71 children, and 22 of these
children were replaced (5 because of very severe physical disabilities,
and 17 because of concerns about their ability to cope with the
assessment situation). Special notes for the assessing teachers
were made about 59 children retained in the sample.
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Communication
with parents
Following these
discussions with the school, Project staff prepared letters to
all of the parents, including a copy of the NEMP brochure, and
asked the schools to address the letters and mail them. Parents
were told they could obtain further information from Project
staff (using an 0800 number) or their school principal, and advised
that they had the right to ask that their child be excluded from
the assessment. Our 0800
number was monitored in evenings, as well as during the day,
for two weeks following each mailing of letters to parents. At the
year 8 level, we received about 20 phone calls including several
from students wanting more information about what would be involved.
The main issues raised by parents were our reasons for selection
of their child, a wish for fuller details or reiteration of what
would be involved, concerns about the use of video equipment,
or reluctance of the child to take part. Eleven children were
replaced as a result of these contacts, one at the child's request,
and ten at the parents' request (three were Exclusive Brethren
and did not allow video viewing, one did not want her child video
recorded, two were concerned about their child's language skills,
two about stress, and two gave no reason) At the
year 4 level we received about 15 phone calls from parents. Some
wanted details confirmed or explained (notably about reasons
for selection). One child chose to withdraw even though her parents
were happy for her participate. Three children were replaced
at parents' request because the parents were concerned about
additional stress for their children.
Practical
arrangements with schools
On the basis of preferences expressed by the schools, we
then allocated each school to one of the five assessment weeks
available and gave them contact information for the two teachers
who would come to the school for a week to conduct the assessments.
We also provided information about the assessment schedule and
the space and furniture requirements, offering to pay for hire
of a nearby facility if the school was too crowded to accommodate
the assessment programme.
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Results
of the sampling process
As a result of the considerable care taken, and the attractiveness
of the assessment arrangements to schools and children, the attrition
from the initial sample was low. Less than one percent of selected
schools did not participate, and less than three percent of the
originally sampled children had to be replaced for reasons other
than their transfer to another school. The sample can be regarded
as very representative of the population from which it was chosen
(all children in New Zealand schools at the two class levels
except the one to two percent in special schools, Kura Kaupapa schools,
or schools with less than four year 4 or year 8 children). Of course,
not all the children in the sample were actually able to be assessed.
One year 8 school (12 children) was lost from the sample because
of the death of the Deputy Principal one day before the assessment
was to begin. Ten year 8 students and 22 year 4 students left
school at short notice and could not be replaced. Twenty-one
year 8 students and eight year 4 students were absent all week,
and missed all of their assesment sessions. Some were absent
from school for some of their assessment sessions, and a small
percentage of performances were lost because of malfunctions
in the video recording process. For many tasks, over 95 percent
of the sample were assessed. No task had less than 90 percent
of the sample assessed. Given the complexity of the Project,
this was a very acceptable success rate.
Composition
of the sample
Because of the sampling approach used, regions were fairly represented
in the sample, in approximate proportion to the number of school
children in the regions.
Region |